LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 07:06 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T06:06:26.257Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:11:34.633Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:16:45.960Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:21:59.001Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:27:17.612Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:36:59.528Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:42:14.147Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:47:22.741Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:52:30.264Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T06:57:46.665Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T07:02:55.471Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T07:06:01.791Z | 65.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.