Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 21:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 18:00 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NO HOODWINK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T15:58:38.276Z | 84.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:03:46.076Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:08:49.116Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:13:52.844Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:18:59.234Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:24:02.632Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:29:09.325Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:34:15.200Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:39:19.466Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:44:24.529Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:49:28.217Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:54:34.510Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T16:59:42.626Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:04:48.407Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:09:58.924Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:15:03.946Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:20:08.355Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:25:15.729Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:30:25.616Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:35:33.425Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:40:46.784Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:45:58.327Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:51:03.357Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T17:56:10.226Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T18:01:15.362Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between No Hoodwink and Level UP in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 1 against Level UP. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 1 against No Hoodwink. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.