Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 23:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 19:53 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BETCLIC APOGEE ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T17:45:21.302Z | 23.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:50:36.590Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:00:52.593Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:06:09.577Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:16:22.201Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:28:11.637Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:33:13.523Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:44:38.960Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:54:49.107Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:59:58.289Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:10:13.984Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:20:32.439Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:30:57.783Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:36:08.746Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:46:12.591Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Betclic Apogee Esports and Liquid in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win Map 1 against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 1 against Betclic Apogee Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.