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Sports · POLYMARKET · CLOSED

Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderi

Ends: Sep 1, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 25, 2026, 21:40 UTCResult: LUCIANO DARDERIResolved: Aug 25, 2026, 21:02 UTC

VERDICTNO PUBLISHED ANALYSIS

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET MATTIA BELLUCCI 45.5%MARX FAIR MATTIA BELLUCCI -
MATTIA BELLUCCI probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0%19%38%56%75%
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Aug 25, 02:09 PMAug 25, 02:09 PMAug 25, 02:09 PMAug 25, 02:09 PMAug 25, 02:09 PM UTC

MATTIA BELLUCCI probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-25T14:09:34.045Z45.5%-—

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

0 events

No linked events in this range.

INSUFFICIENT DATA

  • No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
  • No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Luciano Darderi in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETWHY NO ANALYSISSTRATEGY