Dota 2: Level UP vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 17:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LEVEL UP probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T14:39:03.359Z | 28.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:44:07.474Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:49:20.580Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:54:34.972Z | 79.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T14:59:37.673Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:04:39.940Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:09:54.677Z | 28.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:14:57.808Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:20:03.552Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:25:13.375Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:30:20.181Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:35:29.916Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:40:37.718Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:45:48.343Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:50:57.555Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:56:08.609Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:02:26.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:07:29.819Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:13:54.376Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:19:06.547Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:24:09.860Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:29:23.956Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:34:30.762Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:39:42.473Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:44:52.699Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:50:01.119Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:55:10.227Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:00:23.172Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:05:34.146Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:10:40.433Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Level UP and MOUZ in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 9 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Level UP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.