Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 02:45 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 23:33 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
IMPERIAL probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T21:43:48.187Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:48:56.909Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:54:11.158Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T21:59:23.954Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:04:34.463Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:09:51.313Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:14:53.079Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:19:58.666Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:25:04.527Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:30:12.706Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:35:19.518Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:40:26.553Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:45:32.083Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:50:36.724Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T22:55:45.305Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T23:00:50.536Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T23:05:58.735Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T23:11:09.969Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T23:16:18.546Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T23:21:40.352Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T23:28:50.791Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T23:34:00.359Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Imperial and ALKA in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win Map 1 against ALKA. This market will resolve to "ALKA" if ALKA win Map 1 against Imperial. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.