Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 05:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 02:39 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LOUD probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T01:55:02.419Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:00:17.323Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:05:30.535Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:10:45.640Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:15:55.612Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:21:07.221Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:26:14.740Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:31:19.655Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T02:36:27.888Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 9 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Map 2 against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against LOUD. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.