Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 09:15 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T06:33:40.578Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T06:38:46.303Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T06:47:19.901Z | 31.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T06:52:24.482Z | 31.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T06:59:32.667Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:04:39.092Z | 96.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:09:43.117Z | 96.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:15:25.115Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:20:34.774Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:25:55.412Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:32:49.236Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:37:58.985Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:46:57.381Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:52:04.634Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T07:59:51.894Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:05:00.118Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:10:06.360Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:15:17.986Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:20:29.493Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:25:35.153Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:30:39.795Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:35:56.564Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:41:10.399Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:46:39.975Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:51:51.228Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T08:57:07.179Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:02:51.222Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:07:58.334Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:13:04.314Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T09:15:15.326Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Vici Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.