LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 12:44 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DETONATION FOCUSME probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T10:13:44.712Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:18:49.604Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:23:59.179Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:29:06.496Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:34:15.843Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:39:26.806Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:44:33.806Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:49:41.335Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:54:52.167Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T10:59:56.770Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:05:01.941Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:10:09.412Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:15:22.092Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:20:25.739Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:25:33.158Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:30:41.590Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:35:53.211Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:40:58.750Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:46:06.144Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:51:13.041Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T11:56:19.200Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:01:26.546Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:06:39.424Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:11:54.936Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:17:09.733Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:22:21.220Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:27:41.854Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:32:51.326Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:38:02.986Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T12:43:21.135Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between DetonatioN FocusMe and GAM Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win Game 1 against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win Game 1 against DetonatioN FocusMe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.