LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 15:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 12:35 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FUKUOKA SOFTBANK HAWKS GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T09:43:07.856Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:35:34.309Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win Game 1 against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win Game 1 against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.