Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 18:25 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 15:19 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ILBIRS ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T12:57:51.705Z | 87.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:02:55.934Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:08:03.578Z | 94.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:14:07.174Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:19:15.826Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:24:22.702Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:29:26.067Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:34:44.169Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:39:47.239Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:44:52.643Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:49:55.657Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:55:06.506Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:00:12.411Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:05:22.078Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:10:26.048Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:15:37.458Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:20:40.696Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:26:03.545Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:31:06.230Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:36:15.276Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:41:17.715Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:46:21.469Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:51:27.026Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T14:56:31.895Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:01:36.028Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:06:40.835Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:12:26.303Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T15:17:31.040Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Ilbirs eSports and Team Syntax in the EPL Masters Group A, initially scheduled for August 7 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win Game 1 against Team Syntax. This market will resolve to "Team Syntax" if Team Syntax win Game 1 against Ilbirs eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.