Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 17:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 14:50 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
WILDCARD probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T12:37:18.216Z | 12.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:44:39.480Z | 2.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:49:48.656Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:02:30.310Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:07:33.555Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:20:19.419Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:25:34.563Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:36:53.322Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:43:55.385Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:54:15.100Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:04:53.245Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:15:26.796Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:20:36.620Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:31:11.137Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:41:27.264Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:48:40.624Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Wildcard and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win Map 2 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 2 against Wildcard. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.