Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 19:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 17:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T14:36:33.493Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:41:42.395Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:51:58.312Z | 31.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:58:40.276Z | 43.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:03:59.104Z | 76.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:09:12.568Z | 73.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:14:39.297Z | 87.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:20:00.279Z | 92.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:25:35.711Z | 72.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:30:48.953Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:35:54.251Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:41:18.175Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:46:33.420Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:51:44.533Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:58:30.450Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:03:42.503Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:08:53.328Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:14:10.609Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:19:16.980Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:24:26.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:29:34.270Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:34:43.448Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:39:52.146Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:45:47.352Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:50:56.378Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T16:55:59.856Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:01:04.991Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:06:08.168Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:10:54.676Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Liquid and 1win in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.