LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 17:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 15:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BNK FEARX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T11:14:42.370Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T11:19:48.234Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T11:24:53.234Z | 75.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T11:36:29.272Z | 9.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T11:47:05.112Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T11:52:14.268Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:04:51.455Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:09:55.629Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:20:06.286Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:30:23.913Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:36:55.605Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:47:18.950Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T12:57:36.786Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:07:53.775Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:15:12.449Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:25:34.563Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:36:53.322Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:43:55.385Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:49:12.563Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T13:59:45.616Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:10:02.371Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:20:36.620Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:25:48.167Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:36:16.504Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:48:40.624Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:53:56.883Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:01:53.231Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.