Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 19:55 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 17:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MAGIC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T14:28:57.535Z | 45.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:34:03.116Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:39:08.364Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:44:32.673Z | 55.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:49:43.293Z | 88.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:54:48.989Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:01:53.231Z | 96.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:07:01.248Z | 95.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:12:23.809Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:17:37.207Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:22:40.411Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:28:47.587Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:33:58.136Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:39:06.282Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:44:12.959Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:49:46.577Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:54:51.395Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:00:01.902Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:05:11.811Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:10:18.578Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:18:03.899Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:23:11.503Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:29:09.705Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:34:20.646Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:39:29.302Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:48:57.073Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:54:04.090Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:01:21.719Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:06:26.853Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:11:32.430Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between magic and 3DMAX in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against 3DMAX. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 1 against magic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.