Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 20:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 18:30 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FURIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T15:28:51.145Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:33:58.136Z | 77.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:44:12.959Z | 84.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:49:46.577Z | 94.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:00:01.902Z | 71.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:10:18.578Z | 17.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:18:03.899Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:29:09.705Z | 13.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:34:20.646Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:48:57.073Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:54:04.090Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:01:21.719Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:11:32.430Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:22:02.014Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:32:18.399Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:42:33.277Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:48:13.031Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:01:17.258Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:06:22.575Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:16:39.788Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:26:52.606Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between FURIA and 9z in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 2 against FURIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.