LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 16, 2026, 16:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 16, 2026, 14:43 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KIWOOM DRX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16T10:57:46.850Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T11:02:54.539Z | 47.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T11:07:59.474Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T11:18:24.786Z | 60.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T11:29:36.217Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T11:34:44.683Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T11:44:59.918Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T11:55:46.059Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:05:54.708Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:11:09.755Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:21:24.736Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:31:29.538Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:43:12.174Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:48:15.655Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T12:58:40.436Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T13:08:49.358Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T13:15:10.720Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T13:25:30.475Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T13:35:08.844Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T13:47:24.082Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T13:52:32.190Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T14:03:34.053Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T14:08:46.380Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T14:19:58.045Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T14:30:12.818Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-16T14:40:27.244Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.