Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 18:45 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 15:48 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
1WIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T13:18:38.845Z | 53.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:23:46.583Z | 81.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:28:56.440Z | 80.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:34:07.066Z | 50.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:39:12.672Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:44:20.593Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:49:30.916Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:54:39.533Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:59:45.348Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:04:47.956Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:09:58.944Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:15:08.456Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:20:14.430Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:25:25.867Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:30:33.866Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:35:42.596Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:40:51.612Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:46:04.496Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:51:08.146Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:56:16.309Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:01:28.722Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:06:38.667Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:11:50.237Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:16:53.772Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:21:57.958Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:28:20.153Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:33:23.082Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:38:35.572Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:44:22.164Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:48:40.671Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between 1WIN and Butterfly in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 6 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win Map 2 against Butterfly. This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win Map 2 against 1WIN. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.