LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 14:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GEN.G probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T13:10:50.739Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:16:01.252Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:21:09.906Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:26:13.145Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:31:16.941Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:36:21.828Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:41:31.339Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:46:41.230Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:51:41.923Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T13:56:58.508Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:02:08.833Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:07:14.471Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T14:10:03.611Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Gen.G and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 10 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.