Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 15:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 13:25 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LEVEL UP probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T11:12:46.600Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:22:55.797Z | 94.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:33:06.413Z | 98.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:43:20.390Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:53:43.547Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T11:58:47.387Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:08:56.230Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:19:07.177Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:29:27.668Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:34:32.780Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:44:57.823Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:55:18.553Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:05:39.569Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:10:48.778Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:21:02.613Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and RE.Arise in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against RE.Arise. This market will resolve to "RE.Arise" if RE.Arise win Game 2 against Level UP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.