Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 18:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 15:57 UTCResult: RE.ARISEResolved: Aug 6, 2026, 15:53 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
RE.ARISE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T13:44:20.593Z | 79.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:54:39.533Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:04:47.956Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:09:58.943Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:20:14.430Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:30:33.866Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:40:51.612Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:46:04.496Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:56:16.309Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:06:38.667Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:16:53.772Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:21:57.958Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:33:23.082Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:44:22.164Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:49:35.348Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T15:57:46.816Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between RE.Arise and No Hoodwink in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 6 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "RE.Arise" if RE.Arise win Game 2 against No Hoodwink. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 2 against RE.Arise. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.