Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 17:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM HERETICS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T15:27:55.194Z | 40.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:32:59.158Z | 53.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:43:42.744Z | 33.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:53:57.872Z | 94.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T15:59:25.748Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:09:41.242Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:20:05.129Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:30:17.775Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:35:23.086Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:45:35.451Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:55:51.119Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:06:04.085Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Team Heretics and Fire Flux Esports in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win Map 1 against Fire Flux Esports. This market will resolve to "Fire Flux Esports" if Fire Flux Esports win Map 1 against Team Heretics. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.