Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
Ends: Oct 31, 2026, 23:55 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 22:17 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T21:19:20.576Z | 1.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:24:46.052Z | 1.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:29:54.013Z | 1.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:35:03.809Z | 1.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:40:23.984Z | 1.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:45:29.210Z | 1.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:52:16.997Z | 1.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:57:24.134Z | 1.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:02:26.982Z | 1.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:12:33.244Z | 1.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:17:59.226Z | 1.4% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.