Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 14:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 11:20 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM RESILIENCE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T09:24:53.779Z | 38.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:30:06.534Z | 38.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:35:09.736Z | 34.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:40:20.525Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:45:28.238Z | 95.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:50:34.762Z | 99.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:55:39.946Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:00:48.312Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:06:01.317Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:11:06.024Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:16:08.623Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:21:11.742Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:26:18.911Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:31:25.723Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:36:29.820Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:41:40.260Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:46:49.274Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:52:07.531Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:57:15.609Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:02:19.560Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:07:32.419Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:12:48.602Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:18:00.288Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:20:14.498Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 3rd Place match between Team Resilience and Rune Eaters in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win Game 2 against Rune Eaters. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win Game 2 against Team Resilience. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.