Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 12, 2026, 23:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 21:44 UTCResult: NATUS VINCEREResolved: Aug 12, 2026, 21:39 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM HERETICS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T19:14:35.628Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:19:44.464Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:24:50.533Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:29:53.663Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:35:06.155Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:40:19.090Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:46:01.022Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:51:08.962Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:56:15.837Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:01:25.663Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:06:34.415Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:11:51.422Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:16:59.702Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:22:04.280Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:27:12.074Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:32:16.643Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:37:29.528Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:45:04.713Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:50:09.696Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:55:22.082Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:00:31.083Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:05:39.718Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:10:46.308Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:15:52.841Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:21:03.455Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:26:15.148Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:31:19.831Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:36:30.333Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:44:09.363Z | 0.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Team Heretics. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.