Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 11:17 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
1WIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T08:50:38.169Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T08:55:43.820Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:00:47.999Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:05:59.208Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:11:09.450Z | 42.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:16:13.328Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:21:27.438Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:26:40.589Z | 43.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:31:49.368Z | 52.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:36:55.512Z | 30.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:42:07.323Z | 34.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:47:12.563Z | 48.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:52:15.786Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T09:57:24.066Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:02:28.880Z | 63.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:07:36.227Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:12:48.882Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:17:59.975Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:25:07.854Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:30:23.780Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:35:34.727Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:40:44.731Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:45:54.014Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:51:06.852Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T10:56:09.017Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:01:13.496Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:06:18.282Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:11:23.993Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:16:27.863Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T11:17:56.685Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between 1win and BetBoom Team in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 1 against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 1 against 1win. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.