Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 7, 2026, 03:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 24:54 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
EVIL GENIUSES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T22:27:35.600Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T22:32:46.466Z | 81.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T22:37:55.335Z | 81.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T22:43:24.755Z | 86.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T22:48:41.383Z | 97.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T22:53:49.323Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T22:58:54.927Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:04:04.821Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:09:11.669Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:14:20.913Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:19:24.599Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:24:31.552Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:29:39.905Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:34:45.656Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:39:52.996Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:44:54.939Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:50:00.554Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T23:55:06.610Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:00:15.513Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:05:20.061Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:10:26.424Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:15:31.034Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:20:40.449Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:26:35.963Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:31:42.043Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:36:49.929Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:41:59.258Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:47:02.470Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T00:52:06.683Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win Map 2 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Map 2 against Evil Geniuses. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.