Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 19:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 15:37 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T13:15:53.548Z | 40.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:20:57.632Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:26:02.943Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:31:52.027Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:36:57.618Z | 41.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:42:14.534Z | 63.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:47:22.596Z | 76.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:52:28.120Z | 95.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T13:57:34.370Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:02:40.797Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:07:46.972Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:12:53.842Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:18:00.193Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:23:10.726Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:28:22.947Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:33:27.860Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:39:19.011Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:51:58.312Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T14:58:40.276Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:03:59.104Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:09:12.568Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:14:39.297Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:20:00.279Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:25:35.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:30:48.953Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:35:54.251Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T15:37:14.140Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Liquid and 1win in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.