LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 17:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 14:22 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NONGSHIM RED FORCE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T11:22:38.558Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T11:29:24.565Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T11:34:37.038Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T11:46:35.757Z | 77.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T11:51:40.277Z | 77.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T12:02:23.606Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T12:16:19.527Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T12:21:27.558Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T12:26:35.982Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T12:36:49.895Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T12:47:00.497Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T12:57:38.816Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T13:02:48.086Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T13:13:02.235Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T13:24:16.318Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T13:34:36.379Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T13:39:41.081Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T13:50:12.848Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:03:04.358Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:08:11.372Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:19:37.397Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T14:22:36.225Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 14 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.