Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 17:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 14:22 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BET-M 33 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T12:12:44.167Z | 33.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:17:56.588Z | 81.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:23:01.190Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:28:06.571Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:33:12.014Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:38:20.598Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:44:27.529Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:49:39.684Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:54:44.068Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T12:59:46.459Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:04:53.718Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:10:04.419Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:15:08.199Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:20:17.975Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:25:22.467Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:30:27.988Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:35:35.088Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:40:45.832Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:45:52.960Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:50:58.022Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T13:56:41.792Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:01:52.433Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:07:05.060Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:13:13.555Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:18:19.330Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T14:25:25.867Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between BET-M 33 and SPARTA in the CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BET-M 33" if BET-M 33 win Map 1 against SPARTA. This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win Map 1 against BET-M 33. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.