Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 21:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 19:24 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FNATIC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T16:54:37.868Z | 27.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T16:59:58.706Z | 41.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:05:04.213Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:10:11.943Z | 59.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:15:19.270Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:20:20.967Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:25:23.417Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:30:24.269Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:35:33.555Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:40:39.515Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:45:42.862Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:50:52.882Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T17:56:05.033Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:01:09.922Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:06:14.308Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:11:21.868Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:16:29.604Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:21:38.052Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:27:59.054Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:33:03.745Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:38:04.390Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:43:51.566Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:48:59.280Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:54:05.414Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T18:59:09.740Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T19:04:21.633Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T19:09:25.454Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T19:14:31.174Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T19:19:39.949Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T19:24:45.004Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between fnatic and K27 in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 2 against K27. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win Map 2 against fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.