US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Polona Hercog
Ends: Sep 1, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 25, 2026, 17:03 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MOYUKA UCHIJIMA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25T12:58:54.063Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-25T13:43:26.918Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-25T16:45:19.618Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-25T16:50:25.831Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the tennis match between Moyuka Uchijima and Polona Hercog in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moyuka Uchijima' if Moyuka Uchijima advances against Polona Hercog. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Moyuka Uchijima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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