Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 02:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 22:48 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PAIN ACADEMY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T20:43:38.075Z | 2.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:48:45.454Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:58:56.180Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:09:05.986Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:14:10.696Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:24:21.029Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:34:36.143Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:44:51.369Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:55:29.250Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:00:31.816Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:10:46.775Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:20:57.345Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:31:12.306Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:36:15.339Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T22:46:31.301Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between paiN Academy and Keyd in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 10 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win Map 1 against Keyd. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win Map 1 against paiN Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.