LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 17:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 13:57 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BNK FEARX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T11:28:15.113Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:33:33.105Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:38:36.575Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:43:49.278Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:48:57.423Z | 52.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:54:03.985Z | 50.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T11:59:21.865Z | 49.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:04:28.816Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:09:46.431Z | 87.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:14:59.092Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:20:03.406Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:25:22.376Z | 96.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:30:29.353Z | 91.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:35:41.974Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:40:53.409Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:46:06.643Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:51:13.961Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T12:56:22.336Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:01:27.566Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:06:34.927Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:12:49.597Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:17:55.943Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:23:10.836Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:28:26.626Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:33:44.744Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:38:49.516Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:43:58.497Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:49:10.908Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:54:36.633Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T13:57:15.123Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 2 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.