Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 03:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 01:16 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T00:05:19.558Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:10:26.011Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:15:58.108Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:21:06.821Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:26:11.891Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:32:43.706Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:37:58.899Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:46:12.575Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:51:19.473Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T00:56:26.540Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:01:31.677Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:06:35.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T01:13:16.342Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between BESTIA and ALKA in the BetBoom Storm Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 1 against ALKA. This market will resolve to "ALKA" if ALKA win Map 1 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.