Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 19:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 15:59 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BIG probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T13:46:37.320Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:51:44.722Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T13:56:58.021Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:04:16.463Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:09:21.867Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:15:21.612Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:20:35.915Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:25:54.599Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:31:38.395Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:36:45.296Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:41:51.649Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:51:14.119Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T14:56:21.123Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:01:36.181Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:06:55.646Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:12:05.045Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:17:09.583Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:22:15.510Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:27:24.508Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:32:30.475Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:37:36.673Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:44:33.424Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:49:39.689Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:54:44.779Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T15:59:50.769Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between BIG and G2 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win Map 1 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 1 against BIG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.