LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 6, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 6, 2026, 05:36 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DPLUS KIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06T02:42:47.108Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T02:47:53.375Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T02:58:25.413Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T03:08:33.685Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T03:14:07.976Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T03:24:26.453Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T03:34:44.810Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T03:44:59.952Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T03:50:06.408Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T04:00:21.760Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T04:10:36.209Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T04:20:55.567Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T04:26:18.355Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T04:36:36.894Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T04:46:51.567Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T04:57:07.857Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T05:12:27.683Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T05:22:40.566Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T05:33:15.076Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-06T05:36:12.730Z | 46.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.