Dota 2: BoomBoys vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 06:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 04:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BOOMBOYS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T02:31:34.523Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T02:36:41.580Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T02:41:52.397Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T02:48:09.495Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T02:53:14.890Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T02:59:10.778Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:04:19.926Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:09:34.640Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:16:04.617Z | 67.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:21:11.127Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:26:25.909Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:31:35.659Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:36:45.315Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:41:49.640Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:48:30.989Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:53:47.461Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T03:59:49.972Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:04:54.324Z | 70.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:10:00.746Z | 69.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between BoomBoys and OG in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win Game 1 against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win Game 1 against BoomBoys. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.