LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Brod n Friends - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 24:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 21:51 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ARCTIC PANDAS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T19:18:35.840Z | 8.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:23:40.746Z | 8.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:28:47.710Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:33:50.580Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:39:00.283Z | 4.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:44:10.830Z | 4.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:49:14.726Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:54:25.470Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T19:59:30.670Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:04:35.547Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:09:40.772Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:14:50.482Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:19:55.278Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:25:00.609Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:30:05.529Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:35:10.523Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:40:14.429Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:45:20.678Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:50:25.605Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T20:55:30.542Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:00:35.659Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:05:45.553Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:10:50.678Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:16:00.855Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:21:05.709Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:26:10.782Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:31:15.650Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:36:16.747Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:41:20.750Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T21:46:26.168Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Arctic Pandas and Brod n Friends in the NLC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arctic Pandas" if Arctic Pandas win Game 1 against Brod n Friends. This market will resolve to "Brod n Friends" if Brod n Friends win Game 1 against Arctic Pandas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.