Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 10, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 10, 2026, 17:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YELLOW SUBMARINE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10T15:43:45.703Z | 92.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:48:50.417Z | 97.2% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:53:55.499Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T15:59:05.483Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:04:10.612Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:09:14.421Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:14:20.965Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:19:25.599Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:24:30.669Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:29:40.532Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:34:45.431Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:39:56.532Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:45:03.553Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:50:09.292Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T16:55:20.046Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T17:00:33.294Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T17:05:37.304Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-10T17:10:53.871Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Yellow Submarine and Level UP in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 10 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 1 against Level UP. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 1 against Yellow Submarine. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.