James Madison vs. San Diego State
Ends: Sep 20, 2026, 02:00 UTCMarket data: Sep 20, 2026, 07:24 UTCResult: JAMES MADISONResolved: Sep 20, 2026, 06:38 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
JAMES MADISON probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19T15:49:28.712Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T16:55:55.548Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T17:58:01.481Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T18:55:47.104Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T19:54:39.682Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T20:36:09.441Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T21:28:55.803Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T22:37:00.088Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-19T23:58:13.276Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-09-20T07:24:07.291Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and San Diego State, scheduled for September 19 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.