Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 23:59 UTCMarket data: Aug 8, 2026, 07:20 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07T02:58:58.574Z | 40.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T04:58:57.558Z | 34.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T08:43:15.679Z | 33.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T13:19:07.061Z | 32.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T17:49:33.612Z | 39.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-07T22:18:34.231Z | 42.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T02:54:07.546Z | 22.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-08T07:20:54.728Z | 23.8% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.