Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 11, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 11, 2026, 16:05 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MOUZ probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11T13:46:51.440Z | 6.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:51:56.896Z | 2.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T13:57:01.908Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:02:07.281Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:07:11.559Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:12:16.586Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:17:26.307Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:22:31.692Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:27:46.437Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:32:51.092Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:37:56.471Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:43:01.394Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:48:06.114Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T14:53:11.113Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:00:54.676Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:05:56.398Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:11:01.880Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:16:11.565Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:21:14.934Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:26:19.502Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:31:26.896Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:36:31.955Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:41:42.230Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:46:56.561Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:52:01.324Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T15:57:15.836Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T16:02:26.954Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-11T16:07:36.604Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and Rune Eaters in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Rune Eaters. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win Game 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.