Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 19:55 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 18:01 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MAGIC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T15:28:50.469Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:38:58.627Z | 60.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:49:37.933Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:59:54.708Z | 95.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:05:03.973Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:18:03.877Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:23:11.646Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:34:20.446Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:44:41.078Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:55:15.086Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:01:21.471Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:11:32.157Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:22:01.870Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:27:07.667Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:37:27.016Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:48:10.606Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T18:01:17.147Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between magic and 3DMAX in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against 3DMAX. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 2 against magic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.