Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 23:10 UTCMarket data: Aug 14, 2026, 20:59 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
K27 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14T18:21:53.348Z | 42.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:27:12.349Z | 28.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:32:17.946Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:37:19.658Z | 16.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:42:24.655Z | 8.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:47:41.370Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:52:49.100Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T18:59:26.151Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:04:28.900Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:09:34.697Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:15:07.419Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:20:16.235Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:25:29.307Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:34:00.235Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:39:05.791Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:44:15.401Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:49:19.755Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:54:42.539Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T19:59:56.684Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:05:07.590Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:10:21.728Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:15:31.526Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:20:39.765Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:26:06.407Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:31:11.140Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:36:16.148Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:41:20.772Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:47:05.528Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:52:11.667Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-14T20:59:41.478Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between K27 and MIBR in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win Map 2 against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against K27. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.