LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 22:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 20:06 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PCIFIC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T17:45:20.239Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T17:55:31.748Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:00:36.349Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:10:53.164Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:21:08.011Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:44:27.695Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:49:32.622Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:54:37.823Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:04:56.968Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:15:23.232Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:25:47.349Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:30:56.789Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:41:32.639Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:51:58.746Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:02:30.634Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T20:07:42.434Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 2 match between PCIFIC and Bushido Wildcats in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "PCIFIC " if PCIFIC win Game 1 against Bushido Wildcats. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win Game 1 against PCIFIC . If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.