LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 9, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 9, 2026, 04:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
DPLUS KIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09T01:39:14.734Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T01:44:21.917Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T01:49:28.249Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T01:54:40.569Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T01:59:48.908Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:04:54.817Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:10:05.577Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:15:09.630Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:20:15.301Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:25:25.645Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:30:29.084Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:35:39.816Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:40:50.014Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:46:05.918Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:51:10.045Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T02:56:15.552Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:01:19.023Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:06:28.727Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:12:55.850Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:18:06.600Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:23:16.856Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:28:48.661Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:34:01.349Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:39:06.018Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:44:17.227Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:49:29.461Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:54:40.648Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T03:59:49.929Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T04:05:06.886Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-09T04:10:01.692Z | 57.5% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.