Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 15, 2026, 20:20 UTCMarket data: Aug 15, 2026, 17:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FURIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15T14:48:32.692Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T14:53:54.537Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:07:12.577Z | 96.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:14:13.001Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:24:26.032Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:29:35.383Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:39:45.392Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:49:37.933Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T15:59:54.708Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:10:18.425Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:18:03.877Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:29:09.380Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:34:20.446Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:44:41.078Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T16:55:15.086Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:01:21.471Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-15T17:11:32.157Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between FURIA and 9z in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against FURIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.