LoL: Galions vs Joblife - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 24:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 12, 2026, 21:27 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GALIONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12T18:28:39.415Z | 97.2% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T18:38:46.510Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T18:44:18.975Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T18:54:32.065Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:05:11.508Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:10:18.758Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:20:26.675Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:31:26.711Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:41:36.917Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:47:07.047Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T19:57:15.140Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:07:22.048Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:17:28.523Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:27:37.603Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:32:43.235Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:45:04.647Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T20:50:09.361Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:00:36.380Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:10:53.910Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:21:23.202Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-12T21:26:34.431Z | 100.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Galions and Joblife in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 13 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win Game 1 against Joblife. This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win Game 1 against Galions. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.