Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 5, 2026, 23:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 5, 2026, 19:32 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05T18:34:29.192Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:39:36.812Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:44:52.453Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:50:04.937Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T18:55:10.554Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:00:21.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:05:29.741Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:10:45.909Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:15:55.214Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:21:00.198Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:26:09.877Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:31:15.964Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-05T19:32:40.445Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.